Your second-order year: what January builds, June inherits
January tech decisions create consequences. Why second-order effects will shape tech outcomes in 2026.
If you’re leading a tech team and you already feel behind by the third week of January, you’re not the only one. Calendars are full and new tools have gone live (even if no one’s totally sure what problem they’re solving yet), and activity is everywhere – yet progress feels… elusive.
This is the result of busy tech: a culture where we mistake motion for meaning. In 2026, we think it’s time to break that model down, and remember that clarity is more valuable than speed.
Over the last few years, tech companies have been forced to adapt fast – with new markets, new constraints, and new tools showing up faster than teams can fully absorb them.
But things are beginning to change.
According to a new business tech report from Softcat, for example, drawing on insights from almost 4,000 organisations, cybersecurity remains the top business technology priority looking ahead to 2026.
And the same report highlights a growing value-first mindset. Over half of organisations prioritising digital workspace said their main goal is to maximise the impact of existing technology, rather than immediately investing in new tools.
These two things together suggest that discernment is the key focus. Prioritising cybersecurity is part of a wider move to make technology work better and safer.
If you want to see why ‘busy tech’ is a problem, you have to look at AI adoption across industries.
One recent survey by Storyblok (reported by Business Matters) found that 90% of businesses plan to increase AI investment in 2026. On the surface, that sounds like widespread confidence; but the same survey reveals tension beneath the headline number:
So many organisations are busy doing AI, but not so many are confident they’re doing it well. Over time, this will lead to fragmented systems and unclear ownership of AI-linked tasks and outputs, creating real strain.
This shift away from maximal activity is also visible in how leaders are thinking about technology strategy.
In a summary of 2026 tech trends, Deloitte suggests that AI is restructuring tech organisations, calling on leaders to focus on modular architectures, embedded governance, and redesigning operations – not simply automating existing processes.
The implication here is that when you layer new tools onto broken workflows, you stay busy – but the value of the work you’re doing is questionable.
If you’re focused on impact instead (on making every bit of work you do mean something), you’ll make fewer commitments and be more cautious about adopting new tools and processes; but when you do make a commitment, you’ll stick with it long enough to adjust and improve, and for benefits to compound.
If you’re feeling confused about whether you’re creating impact or just making noise, ask:
If we stopped doing this for three months, would anyone outside the team notice?
You could use this question for processes and outputs across any organisation. Because if the honest answer is no, it might be time to replace your busy-ness with more effective, purposeful work.
Markets are competitive, and there’s always a sense that tech companies are rewarded for speed. But let’s make 2026 the year that real intent and purpose is rewarded. Because being busy won’t make your company thrive, but being careful and patient and focused will. Allow a small number of good decisions to deliver true impact.
If you only make one decision today, decide to come to LEAP 2026. Get your pass now.
January tech decisions create consequences. Why second-order effects will shape tech outcomes in 2026.
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January tech decisions create consequences. Why second-order effects will shape tech outcomes in 2026.
Are tech strategy timelines getting shorter? Research from EY and McKinsey shows why rigid roadmaps are failing, and how teams are planning differently.
What defines a future-ready creative studio? Territory Studio’s founder explains how multidisciplinary teams, worldbuilding, and tech fluency builds digital worlds.